Just How Bad Is Click Fraud?

Posted on October 22nd, 2006
By Gary Bivings in Advertising, Google, Research

A $500 million to $1 billion problem, depending on whom you ask.

In a front page article in The Washington Post, 'Click Fraud' Threatens Foundation of Web Ad, staff writer Sara Kehaulani Goo discusses the mechanics of click fraud, the new forms of click fraud — the fast growing "pay to read" and "pay to click" rings of individuals and companies around the world — and the new lawsuit against Google.

 Some figures from the article worth filing away:

  • Google and Yahoo own 70% of all web searches in the  U.S.
  • About 40 percent of all Internet ads are clickable text ads (the advertiser only pays when the ad is clicked on)
  • Thirty-nine percent, or $1.04 billion, of Google's 3rd quarter revenues derived from affliate networks, website that allow Google text ads
  • Click fraud hurts mortgage, insurance, real estate, legal and travel businesses the most

Yankee Group estimates that fraud is involved in 10% of clicks on text ads, or a $500 million problem.  Others estimate the problem is even worse, perhaps as bad as $1 billion — affecting 12 to 30 percent of all text ad clicks.  Google claims the problem is less that 10 percent.

Yankee Group argues that without more agressive measures to validate ad clicks, "fraud could undermine the the entire business model of Internet search engines by causing advertisers to lose confidence."

| Trackback URL |

Trackbacks/Pings

Comments

  1. Richard Ball

    The article also states that “Experts think click fraud is especially prevalent on sites affiliated with search engines.” Most of the click fraud occurs from buying contextual advertising and *not* search engine advertising. Advertisers can opt out of contextual advertising. If they did so, click fraud would not be such a hot topic.

    Google would also lose its growth momentum. As you noted, they made ~$1 billion from partner sites (not sure if that’s purely content partner sites - AdSense - or also search network partners). So, Google doesn’t have any incentive to have contextual ads turned off by default. That would, however, be a more honest approach. And the perception of click fraud as a massive problem would virtually disappear.

  2. fgb

    Interesting point. As you know, most spam sites are just contextual links (AdSense, mostly). Anecdotal research among our clients suggests that AdSense is not very valuable anyway. But that there is just such a huge number of sites in their network that generates these revenue numbers.

about this blog

The Bivings Report (TBR) is a source of news, insight, research and analysis on the web-based communications industry. TBR content is posted, created and managed by internet strategists, media/communications analysts, web developers, designers and programmers, all of whom are employees of The Bivings Group.

Search Site

Archives

2008
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul          
2007
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2006
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2005
Jan Feb Apr May Jun Jul
Aug Sep Nov Dec    
2004
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Nov Dec  
2003
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2002
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2001
          Dec

RSS feed RSS feed
RSS feed Facebook
RSS feed Follow on Twitter

Email Subscription


Delivered by FeedBurner

Collaborate

Send Tips Send Tips
Wiki Wiki

Authors

Tags

Most Popular Posts

Blogroll