Five Technologies that Will Impact the 2008 Elections February 28, 2007

Posted by Todd Zeigler in Internet, Politics, Web 2.0, Website review

Patrick Ruffini has a good post about an online poll he came across that asked what technology would have the biggest impact on the 2008 election cycle.  YouTube is winning the poll in a landslide.  Ruffini writes:

That’s a “fighting the last war” mentality. Ask the pundits to predict what will work in the next election cycle and they’ll repeat what worked in the last one.

I agree.  So in a fit of stupidity, I'm going to list some of the technologies I think will impact the 2008 cycle that haven't already been hyped/written about to death.  Technologies that haven't really hit the political world yet.  Chances are none of these will actually have an impact and it will be something else, but it is worth a shot.

(1) Ning (Niche Social Networks)

Draft Gore The social network creation tool Ning relauched yesterday and it looks very, very promisingNing allows users to create their own highly specialized social networks through a slick drag and drop interface.  As an example, a network has been created to draft Al Gore for another Presidential run.  Ning is not the only player in this field – there are tons.

The implications here are pretty obvious.  These tools will allow activists to create their own networks around the issues or candidates they are passionate about (they are essentially a more powerful version of Yahoo Groups).  Campaigns can build their own social networks without spending a fortune to build inferior tools.  Bloggers can build communities around their sites. 

(2) Mozes (Broadcast Text Messaging)

Mozes As a web developer, I run into lots of applications I love but never really have an opportunity to use.  Mozes is one of those aps for me.  As I wrote back in July, "Mozes allows you to create a free account and then register the keywords of your choice. People who send a text message to 66937 (MOZES) with your keyword as the message will get back a custom message of your choosing. In addition, you can use Mozes to encourage users to subscribe to your keyword and you can then send out broadcast messages to all your subscribers whenever you want."

Mozes is currently used mostly by bands to promote shows and such.  But I think an enterprising candidate or activist could use Mozes (or a similar service) to update users on the candidate's schedule or to send out a message of the week.  Users could just text the phrase "obama" to 66937 and get back whatever message the campaign crafts and subscribe to receive additional alerts. 

(3) Twitter (What Are You Doing Now?)

Twitter is a social networking tool that allows you to use your computer, cell phone and/or instant messenger account to send out short messages about what you are doing to your friends.  You can also receive updates regarding what your friends are doing in the same way.  Twitter is addictive in its simplicity and seems to be catching on among West Coast technology workers.  For an example, here is the Twitter page of founder Evan Williams

What does this have to do with politics?  Maybe very little.  But if Twitter catches on I think it's power as an organizational tool for grassroots activists is obvious.  The service can be used to send out calls to action that then can be spread from person to person via email, text message and/or IM.  In the pipe dream category, I think it would be fantastic for elected officials to use Twitter to keep constituents up to date on their activities (who they are meeting with, what they are voting on, etc.).

(4) NowPublic (Networked Journalism Websites) 

This one is sort of cheating, as the power of networked journalism (or citizen journalism if you prefer) has already been proven time and again (RatherGate, Trent Lott, etc.).  But in the last few years we've seen a number of websites launch that specialize in aggregating user generated news stories.  These sites include NowPublic, Our Media, NewsAssignment.net and OhMyNews and each has developed its own network of citizen reporters.

MyBlogLogI expect one of these networked news sites (or one that hasn't launched yet) to emerge in the next few years as a leader.  And I think stories these sites break about the 2008 Presidential election could be the catalyst for this breakthrough. 

(5) MyBlogLog (Social Networking Around Blogs)

I've written about this before as well.  "MyBlogLog is a tool that allows for social networking around blogs.  Basically, bloggers and blog readers sign up for a MyBlogLog account and upload a picture, claim their blog and create a profile. If you run a blog, you can insert the MyBlogLog widget (see right) on your site and you can see a list of your recent visitors.  MyBlogLog allows users to form relationship with other readers and also to join a blog's community."

MyBlogLog isn't the only player in this space – OthersOnline and Explode recently launched.

To be honest, right now these services are kind of pointless.  You can build a community around your website/blog but beyond that there isn't much more going on.  However, I think building communities around the sites you visit is a compelling concept.   As these tools develop, they will give people the power to develop online networks that could be eventually used to spur political activism.

Got your own idea?  Leave it in the comments. 

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  1. Vote -1 Vote +1Five Technologies that Will Impact the 2008 Elections « News Coctail - February 28th, 2007 at 8:37 pm

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  7. Vote -1 Vote +1Swap Blog » Blog Archive » Five Technologies that Will Impact the 2008 Elections - March 12th, 2007 at 7:46 am

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Comments

  1. Vote -1 Vote +1Mike Orren - February 28th, 2007 at 1:24 pm

    This impacts a limited group (for now) but at Pegasus News we’re going to run the first ever database that we know of containing links, feeds, video interviews and campaign contribution data (interlocking) on every candidate and incumbent in the metro DFW area — not just the cities, but the burbs. Councils, School Boards and County Commissions.

    We already have the incumbents up: http://www.pegasusnews.com/politics/

    And although our blitz on the others won’t start until the filing deadline, we’re posting as we do some early interviews: http://www.pegasusnews.com/peo.....m-leppert/

    Maybe not a new technology, but a use of technology to create a depth on local elections that I at least have never seen.

  2. Vote -1 Vote +1ToddZeigler - February 28th, 2007 at 1:28 pm

    Mike – very cool stuff. I had not seen Pegasus News before. Thanks for the info.

  3. Vote -1 Vote +1David All - February 28th, 2007 at 5:45 pm

    Of course, as the author of the poll, I disagree with you Todd.

    It’s tough to believe that the five websites/services I mentioned will not be the major players in 2008.

    Patrick’s logic, that these websites were the big news in 2006 and therefore won’t be the major players in 2008, is flawed. We’re just now seeing how/if they can be used on a national campaign where building and amplifying a message to a broad sweep of Americans matters.

    Many of the Presidential campaigns are either embracing these websites ineffectively or not at all.

    We still have a while to go, but I seriously doubt mybloglog – as neat as it might be – will surpass YouTube.

  4. Vote -1 Vote +1ToddZeigler - February 28th, 2007 at 7:07 pm

    David – I don’t disagree with anything you say. But two things:

    (1) YouTube has already had a huge impact on politics – it might have cost the Republicans the Senate in 2006. So the poll becomes sort of uninteresting when you include something like YouTube that has already had an impact with other less proven websites. Your poll is a battle for second place.

    (2) The technology space is moving really quickly so it’s impossible to know what the next big thing will be. That is the question (what will be the next big thing?) I tried to answer in my post, and is more interesting I think than the question your poll asks.

  5. Vote -1 Vote +1Espen - February 28th, 2007 at 9:20 pm

    Todd – Why might YouTube have cost the Republicans the Senate in 2006?

    I agree that as a networking/communication tool YouTube might have had an impact on the outcome on the election, but it would be interesting to here why dedicate so much of the impact solely to YouTube.

    How do you define or assess impact of networks and online campaign tool such as YouTube?

  6. Vote -1 Vote +1ToddZeigler - February 28th, 2007 at 9:37 pm

    Espen – George Allen lost his race in VA by around 10,000 votes. He was well ahead before the infamous macaca video starting spreading on YouTube. Conrad Burns also lost a close race in part due to comments he made that were posted to YouTube.

    Saying YouTube cost the Republicans the Senate is a bit simplistic, sure. But there is some truth there…

  7. Vote -1 Vote +1Espen - March 1st, 2007 at 2:22 am

    Todd – I definitely agree with you when it comes to the case of George Allan.

    However, I am currently studying if communication via blogs can influence political campaigns and impact the outcome of an election. I am therefore interested in finding out more about how blog impact can be measured.

    I just posted a few words about the study on my blog. If anyone is interested in discussing the study’s approach and design feel free to share your view. All suggestions about how we can measure the impact of blogs will be warmly welcomed. The post can be located here.

  8. Vote -1 Vote +1PresidentialQuest.com - March 1st, 2007 at 9:39 am

    http://www.presidentialquest.com is landing page for search engines set up for all of the Presidential Candidates and Hopefuls. It costs nothing to support your favorite candidate (no time, no money) all you have to do is shift your web searches to your favorite candidate. For example, if you are a Rudy Giuliani supporter, go to http://www.rudygiulianiquest.com and search.

  9. Vote -1 Vote +1Luigi Montanez - March 2nd, 2007 at 4:27 pm

    On Niche Social Networks, check out a talk I did about the niche social network we created at Democracy for America (Howard Dean’s organization that followed his presidential campaign):

    http://www.leftisphere.com/200.....al-network

  10. Vote -1 Vote +1Jeff - March 3rd, 2007 at 12:24 am

    Presidentialquest.com should be in the running here. It’s a search site for all those supporters whose candidate is seeking the White House. That’s now over 40 individual search sites where one can support their candidate simply by searching the web. No cost, no extra time, max results.

  11. Vote -1 Vote +1gary - March 5th, 2007 at 6:47 pm

    Here’s another approach to YouTube campaigning, this one based on the issues…

    http://www.ExpertVoter.org

    gary

  12. Vote -1 Vote +1Ron - March 14th, 2007 at 2:04 pm

    Nice article!

  13. Vote -1 Vote +1Marisa - March 22nd, 2007 at 2:25 am

    For the web savvy, this notion of “politubing” is not new. But to me it seems this is just now hitting main stream and has a ways to go. The recent explosive story about Phil at Digital Blue Media who created that Hilary 1984 – Obama video (very cool), is a key indicator that this medium is truly embraced but needs some serious fine tuning. So I see services around refining the area of politubing to be a potentially key player. For fun, TubeMogul who coined the term “politubers” is tracking and comparing authorized presidential 08 online video campaign viewership and providing trends and analysis. For candidates, keeping an eye on this explosive medium in an easy and fast format I see as being very relevant technology for this election.

About this blog

The Bivings Report (TBR) is a source of news, insight, research, analysis and conversation on web-based communications and its increasingly powerful role in the economy, politics and society. TBR content is created, posted and managed by internet strategists, media/communications analysts, web developers, designers and programmers, all of whom are employees of The Bivings Group.



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